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CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 4:00am EST
's shift to democracy in a first ever trip by a serving u.s. president to the country. but he cautions that his trip should not be seen as an endorsement of the country's sgoechlt. and oil futures hitting a two week high as international pressure mounts for a cease-fire in gaza. u.n. secretary general ban ki-moon is heading to cairo for emergency negotiations. good morning, welcome to the program packed full of fantastic guests to give you you updates and analysis on where we are in trade. if europe, higher by 0.8%. coming off the 3 1/2 month low that we saw in the close on friday, helped along by optimism on the negotiations to avoid a fiscal cliff state side. we saw quite a rally in the u.s. on friday's close and that is feeding through to europe here this morning. ftse 100 higher by 09%, xetra dax by more than 1% and ibex 35 more than half a percentage point. the bond markets, the question is whether or not we'll see a lid on on bond prices on treasuries especially if we manage to overt a fiscal cliff scenario, if we see productive talks continuing. right now we're seeing the yield
CNBC
Nov 20, 2012 4:00am EST
after good gains yesterday. following strong moves in the u.s., as well. cac 40 down half a percent. weighed town by the moody's downgrade, although expected. and ibex done around 0.4%. french debt market, yields are up to 2.1%. treasuries slightly higher, but still below 6%. ten year bund yields slightly lower. so france is trading with the peripheral in that sense. euro-dollar, 1.2794 is where we stand, dipping slightly on on the back of the french downgrade. dollar-yen 81.26, but the yen has been down at acceseven mont lows. aussie dollar slightly weaker against the u.s. dollar. rba minutes suggesting that their policymakers consider further monetary easing may be appropriate. still to come, we'll be in athens and brussels. euro group reportedly close to signing off on the next tranche aid. i always wait until the last minute. can i still ship a gift in time for christmas? yeah, sure you can. great. where's your gift? uh... whew. [ male announcer ] break from the holiday stress. ship fedex express by december 22nd for christmas delivery. get on e-trade. set up a real plan. frank!
CNBC
Nov 30, 2012 4:00am EST
on december 7th. they priced the range at the moment of their indicative range. it will be a 3.1 u.s. billion dollar ipo and that would be hong kong's largest in about two years. looking at some of the other markets, the kospi finished with somes losses down 0.1%. asx finishing up 0.6%. let's get over to the november performances because it was a pretty good showing for the month. nikkei of course the outperformer. kelly mentioned the yen. it has been weakening against the u.s. dollar and that has been providing a lot of support. also directly related to politics in japan. this has been in focus over the last month or so. opposition leader expected to be the next prime minister when the country votes. so he has been talking about a lot of aggressive monetary easing and talking about an inflation target of about 2%. so stocks have really been on a roll. the kospi finishing up with just about 1.1% gain in november. we have the asx finishing just slightly lower about a quarter of a percent. and the hang seng continues to win finishing i believe a third month of gains up 1.8% in the month of nove
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 4:00am EST
advisers austan goolsbee on how the u.s. can avoid falling off the fiscal cliff. plus we'll take you live to tokyo with japan hit by election fever. the yen is falling as a repeated call for bold monetary easing. and we'll be live in new york 5:45 a.m. for a look at the u.s. retail sector. walmart and target getting set to release third quarter numbers. >>> chig that's ruling com uhe nus party has lifted the curtain. the unveiling seals so s xi jins rise. hu has seeded oig all powers and that's gives china's next leader a strong mandate. eunice has more for us this morning. it sounds like a pretty signature consolidation of power under xi. >> definitely is a consolidation of power. he'll get a very strong mandate as you had mentioned to run this country the way that he wants. he gets the three top titles, the most powerful are party chief, president as well as military commander. that is very significant because it allows him to have more control over his own agenda. when he went to meet the press this morning, he was looking very casual, looking a about folksy. when he was youtd lining t
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 4:00am EST
the stage for a possible comeback. >>> and president obama meets with top u.s. lawmakers to begin budget talks as the fiscal cliff looms. both sides are digging in their heels on on tax hikes and spending hikes. against all of the political changes we're seeing today, first i want to show you the market action. stoxx 600 is sitting roughly flat, but we've seen interesting trading session where the nikkei really surging to the up side again today. more on that in a bit. take a look at what's happening across europe because after a couple of uglier days in the market, we're seeing something of a comeback now led by technology, retail stocks are also in the green, food and beverages, autos among the sectors dragging on the in-dek. we can take a closer look at the bourses. ibex is down. ftse 100 sam thing, so we'll keep an eye on all these levels as the show progresses this morning. the bond space is where we've been focusing our attention with spain and greece on. spain today seeing prices rise, yields coming down to 5.78%. italy seeing a bit of a rally, too. selloff for britain and bund oi
CNBC
Nov 21, 2012 4:00am EST
for you. right. >>> research in motion may be losing another big u.s. customer. the national transportation safety board may switch from blackberries to apple's iphone. they have failed at inopportune times and the iphone would better link to the ipad. last month, the immigration and customs bureau switched to the iphone. you can see that we do have that stock price up about 8%, though, in u.s. markets yet. >>> still to come, i talk retail spending, online trends and holiday shopping with phillip green. plus, a rather well-known famous pop singing shopper. >> quality and it's comfortable. there you go. >> what's better than that? can i help you? i heard you guys can ship ground for less than the ups store. that's right. i've learned the only way to get a holiday deal is to camp out. you know we've been open all night. is this a trick to get my spot? [ male announcer ] break from the holiday stress. save on groupping at fedex office. >>> after nearly 12 hours of talks, the ecb and imf officials failed in their request to agree conditions -- officials did agree to meet again ne
CNBC
Nov 22, 2012 4:00am EST
a favorable external environment, meaning u.s. not going into this deep due to the fiscal cliff. and also signs of improvement in asia. >> meanwhile the french pmi says the survey there suggests a 0.7% gdp drop in quarter 4 for france. >> that seems quite large. we've seen in recent quarters numbers out of front which were higher than suggested by the pmis, however, they then revised down q2. so i'm looking for a contraction of 0.3 in france quarter on quarter in q4. >> what's going to change things, ricardo, what will turn things around? >> i think on the policy front, not much one can effect. fiscal policy will remain tight next year. the ecb doesn't have a huge margin to ease policy. i'm expecting that they will cut the refinancing rate. but i don't think it will go to negative rates for now. so they can only do perhaps 25 basis points on the main refinancing rate. the omt bond buying facility can only be activated if one of the countries apply. and it doesn't look like neither spain nor italy will apply anytime soon. and anyway the bond yields have declined quite a bit compared to jul
CNBC
Nov 23, 2012 4:00am EST
such a thing as a fiscal cliff like you have in the u.s. the old budget simply takes over up a new budget has been agreed on. so there is no financing disaster in the middle of it. the curious crux to this is if this old budget takes over because of the in-build qui sooif inflation factor in there, it's actually than the new budget they're debating right now, so all the countries pushing for the cut and even putting the threat on the veto on the table, they will actually chief the opposite. we'll keep on spending more even then with a sort of slide budget increase that the eu commission put on the table. and as to where the negotiations stand, i think at the moment the budget talks, pardon to be cynical, but political posturing on the various side than the actual effects in there. because if you look at the mound that the various countries put up into the budget, i think like 9 billion and that is already one of the biggest, we just save banks and sovereigns for hundreds of billions of bailout funds. so in terms of the actual money, this is absolute small cheese. >> absolutely is. silvia, for
CNBC
Nov 12, 2012 1:00pm EST
we have been hoping for for four decades now will arrive and the u.s. will serve up more oil than saudi arabia in the year 2020. that according to a new report by people who actually do know the oil business very well. >>> and sex and the ceo. and the collateral damage. how widespread is sex at work? we really want the answer to that question? >>> what should the consequences be. >>> and no hockey. forget about that. no problem. look what the world of auto racing brought us over the weekend. a brawl! another black eye for a sport that corporate america was counting on? no fighting here at cnbc. sue's with me here again. nice to have you here, sue. >> it is great to be here, ty. those "fast money" guys got me all riled up over there. they're having a good time. >>> we're going to take a look at the markets right now. dow jones industrial average has turned into positive territory, not by too much, but hey if you're a bull, we'll take it. the s&p is up two. the nasdaq up almost eight on the trading session. >>> we here at cnbc, as you do, follow the energy sector very closely on "po
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 1:00pm EST
thought to the findings of the congressional committee on the culpability of jon corzine, the former u.s. senator with respect to the mf global collapse. >> i think it is no surprise that corzine gets all the blame there from republicans. they want to embarrass a guy who's got democratic connections. he was to blame. he made these big bets. the more interesting thing to me is the extent to which it shows that the s.e.c. and the cftc were completely at odds with one another, not in sync, and makes the argument strongly for merging those two. it does make the case more strongly for merging those two agencies. >> thank you very much, ben. we'll talk more about that congressional report in our next half-hour. simon? >>> tyler, in 53 minutes, a major news conference begins in which we're expecting an announcement that bp, british petroleum, is agreeing flou to pay the u.s. government a record fine for the disastrous oil spill in the gulf of mexico. what was it? two years ago. bertha coombs has details. bertha. >> that's right, simon. they will admit guilt and pay the largest fine ever by a u.
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 7:00pm EST
that sucked up the oxygen. hamas is a group that's recognized as a terrorist organization by the u.s. government, the israeli government and the european union, has increased shelling in areas of israel over recent weeks. they now have shelled tel aviv and 180 missiles went into southern israel. so israel for its own self-defense, its right of self-defense is organizing, rallying more reserve troops, getting ready for more permanent action. it can and should do what's necessary to protect its citizens, which means inflicting damage on hamas. >> heavy damage, deep damage. go as long as it takes. but john, given what you and ambassador williamson just said, where is the white house on this? the best we can find is not a public statement. the best we can find came out of a white house statement. i'll quote, israel has the right to self-defense in light of the rocket attacks. but that's not the president really standing up for israel. this was some white house spokesman echoed by the state department, john. that ain't the kind of support that i'm looking for. >> my information, very fres
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 6:00am EST
economics. back here in the u.s., reports from walmart and target. at 8:30, we get weekly jobless claims. october consumer price index. and the november empire state survey. in corporate news, bp expected to pay a record u.s. criminal penalty and plead guilty to criminal misconduct in the 2010 deepwater horizon disaster, a plea deal reached with the department of justice reportedly may be announced as soon as today. reuters says bp will plead guilty in exchange for a waiver of future prosecution on the charges. bp says it is in discussions, but no final agreement has been reached yet. >> fun to have you here today. we do hope mr. kernen get better very soon. he's not normally sick. >> he never calls out sick. so he must be really sick. >> i think there's a flu going around. >> convenient for all of us. i took chips out of his bag yesterday and now i'm -- >> who is the guy sitting in his seat? >> can we get some lie sole over here? >> let's get back to the topic dominating the conversation from wall street to washington right now. of course it is the looming fiscal cliff. we have made it
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 9:00am EST
territory. >> the head of mcdonald's u.s. business is out and jeff stratton will assume that business starting january 1. capped off last month with the first decline in monthly sales in about nine years. we'll begin with a teale of two retailers. walmart, revenues coming in short of forecast. -- as for target, the company posted third quarter earnings well above estimates, says it's poised for a strong fourth quarter, but walmart has some issues here, jim. they're talking countries including but not limited to brazil, china and some others too. >> yeah, i was thinking it bick, not brick. russia has been left out of the equation, foreign corrupt investigation, not a great number here at all. the stock had become a very big institutional favorite. if you recall during the mexican investigation, when "new york times" piece it, the stock was trading between 57 and 58. they were then overridden by a couple of really good, solid quarters. this was not the quarter that anyone was looking for. >> except for those who sold the stock over the last couple of weeks. i mean that stock has started
CNBC
Nov 20, 2012 4:00pm EST
the looming fiscal cliff. he says failure to do so could pose, quote, a substantial threat to the u.s. economy. >> the realization of all the automatic tax increase and spending cuts that make up the fiscal cliff absent offsetting changes would pose a substantial threat to the recovery. indeed, by the reckoning of the congressional budget office, the cbo, and that of many outside observers. a fiscal shock of that size would send the economy toppling back into recession. >> but the fiscal cliff does not really worry my next guest. he describes it as the y2k of the moment. joining me now to explain is a well-known fed critic jim grant. he's founder and editor of "grant's interest rate observer." you say this is like y2k. no big deal. came and went. you're not worried about it. you say the markets aren't going to fret over it. >> i don't mean to be quite so dismissive. certainly my experience of problems that are most ventilated are the ones that are least menacing, in fact. the more you talk about something, the more it's likely to be discounted. we've done nothing but talk about the fiscal clif
CNBC
Nov 21, 2012 12:00pm EST
the downgrade to u.s. debt. i think the consumer is actually okay, which is why i like macy's right for the middle class. >> we look forward to having you back and enjoy thanksgiving. coming up, the as stock trading at ten-year lows today. is this a once in a lifetime opportunity for you to get in? we'll get details ahead and we head to the pits to tackle what happens to gold if the u.s. can't avoid the fiscal cliff and we'll check out the top stocks in the s&p 500 today ahead of the thanksgiving holiday. we'll be right back. americans are always ready to work hard for a better future. since ameriprise financial was founded back in 1894, they've been committed to putting clients first. helping generations through tough times. good times. never taking a bailout. there when you need them. helping millions of americans over the centuries. the strength of a global financial leader. the heart of a one-to-one relationship. together for your future. ♪ olaf gets great rewards for his small business! pizza! [ garth ] olaf's small business earns 2% cash back on every purchase, every day! he
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 1:00pm EST
resigning. in a private hearing, he told lawmakers that he believed all along that the attack on the u.s. consulate in benghazi, libya was a terrorist strike despite how the white house initially portrayed it. of the scandal that led him to resign, petraeus expressed his regret about the circumstances of his departure but said nothing more. simon? >>> two major breaking stories right now impacting the oil market. there's been an explosion on an oil rig in the gulf of mexico off the coast of venice, louisiana. a company called black elk energy operates that rig. reports are that a worker may have cut a line with a settling torch. four people have been rushed to the hospital, two are reportedly still missing. so far we have no reports of oil actually leaking into the gulf. >>> meanwhile, also breaking right now, the u.n. nuclear agency says iran is about to double output of higher enriched uranium. now that is a material that can easily be turned, we're told, into a nuclear warhead. sharon epperson is following the oil impact on both of those breaking stories. sharon, over to you. >> brent
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 1:00pm EST
's next. >>> if congress drifts u.s. economy off the fiscal cliff, the department of education's 2013 budget will be cut by over $4 billion with $256 million cut from the federal student aid program. and his new boss told him two things -- cook what you love, and save your money. joe doesn't know it yet, but he'll work his way up from busser to waiter to chef before opening a restaurant specializing in fish and game from the great northwest. he'll start investing early, he'll find some good people to help guide him, and he'll set money aside from his first day of work to his last, which isn't rocket science. it's just common sense. from td ameritrade. it's just common sense. when you take a closer look... ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... ...so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. >>> welcome back. i'm bertha coombs
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 3:00pm EST
is that the u.s. bankruptcy judge said that the parties have agreed to a medation in the prevention of shutting down hostess. that will likely be monitored by the same judge tomorrow morning at 11 a.m. this is an attempt to avoid a shutdown, even though in today's hearing the hostess brand lawyer said it would be, quote, very hard to recover from this damage even if there were to be an agreement in the near term. still unclear what this actually means for hostess's ability to operate is a going certain but still a positive move and we'll stay tuned to what actually happens tomorrow. >> he's put off the table for now chapter 7 or chapter 11, is that my understanding? he's going to get them to do a deal even though bakers have rejected? >> that's right. an alternative to liquidation for today. he's giving them till tomorrow to say, if quu agree on some terms in the private, the brain trust will be in a room trying to hammer out a deal. if not, more options will be on the table. at least for the next 24 hours it looks like liquidation is off the table. but just for this very short term. also the q
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 9:00am EST
, this is fascinating. the fiscal cliff issue is a reason for many markets to move in the u.s. it's also big reason in europe and as it overlays several months going back to june with dow jones industrial average, you can see that our market was impacted more by the election but both charts are highly correlated and it's the fact that we are talking potential solutions to our fiscal cliff. melissa lee, back to you. >> thank you very much, rick santelli. just a note here, we're waiting for intel to begin trading again. a delayed open because of news that ceo will be retiring in may. we're awaiting that opening trade. 9:45 eastern time is our latest indication. meantime, will we see a massive correction even if there is a fiscal cliff deal? that's what david shulman is saying. find out why the senior economist is making such a bearish call. brewing job creation. what the folks at sam adams are doing to get food and beverage entrepreneurs a lift. stay tuned. [ male announcer ] introducing the new dell xps 12. part of a whole new line of tablets from dell. it's changing the conversation. ♪ well, havi
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 4:00pm EST
, there is some risk there and maybe something needs to be done. but we're lumping in u.s. treasury money funds, u.s. government agency money funds, muni money funds. are we going to say they're subject to credit loss also? we have to get more specific about these major policy changes rather than throwing a blanket over an entire industry. >> great point. we're going to leave it there. you're betting on whether or not we go over the fiscal cliff this year. what do you think? >> i'm worried. >> you're frworried. >> i don't see the leadership at this point in time i'm hoping to see from the white house. >> walt, great to have you on the program. really appreciate it. walter is the president and ceo of the charles schwab corporation. >>> meanwhile, the honeywell ceo was at that fiscal cliff meeting with president obama today. it just wrapped up. he joins us now for a first-on cnbc interview from the white house. david, good to have you on the program. thank you so much for joining us. >> thanks. good to be here. >> okay. so leading up to this meeting with the president, you were skeptiabou seeing a dea
CNBC
Nov 20, 2012 9:00am EST
's going on in defense. also, regardless of the fiscal cliff there's cuts. the u.s. government is the world's biggest buyer of software associated with the running of any kind of government. that's another kind of corollary here. a big comment from a lot of people in the defense industry about that yesterday. i think they're the first company to come out and make realistic expectations of what will happen in the next couple of years. back to you. >> okay. thank you. dave cote is the head of the curve on all of this. let's shift to bonds and dollar. rick santelli at the cme group in chicago. rick? >> thank you, jim. everyone is excited about good housing numbers. everybody but the fixed income market. everybody but the equity market. i know there's an hp issue here. however, let's look at the charts. let's put up a two-day chart of tens. clearly you can see we're up about a basis point on the day. if you look on the right side of the chart and look around 8:30 eastern, you can't pick out that we had a good housing number. if you really switch this around a bit, you look at the shorter mature
CNBC
Nov 21, 2012 3:00pm EST
, it really wasn't. as a i talk, you can look at ten-year for every major developed economy. the u.s., the germans, the french, the u.k., the japanese. month to date, the patterns are almost all die dent call. with all these variables, elections, mideast, fiscal cliff, it seems as though there's only so much flight to safety bid you can push into the marketplace. some traders say that's why you didn't notice. in the old days, it would make a difference. yields are already most accommodative from a nervousness standpoint. i will tell you it was the number one conversation. and even though it really isn't about oil, that's the market everybody is trading to of course kind of play the headlines. >> michael, how about you? how does this impact the way you're allocating capital? >> well, as you know, our strategy is about 45% in cash while the prefunctory -- what we'll have left to boost us higher. i think the market does go higher. here's why. you have $85 billion each month from the federal reserve as far as balance sheet expansion. you have negative real interest rates that will be get
CNBC
Nov 8, 2012 7:00pm EST
.com. >>> breaking news on an iranian fighter plane attacking a u.s. drone. it happened before election day. why are we just learning about this now? today? >>> but before we go to break, don't forget free market capitalism is the best path to prosperi prosperity. maybe there is going to be some progress in washington. i have an open mind. i'm kudlow. we'll be right back. [ female announcer ] want to spend less and retire with more? at e-trade, our free online tools and retirement specialists can help you build a personalized plan and execute it with a wide range of low cost investments. get a great plan and low cost investments at e-trade. >>> we are more breaking news tonight. u.s. defense officials confirm today that iranian fighter planes fired and missed at a u.s. drone. that was just days before election day. so why are we learning about it mow for the first time? joining me, syndicated radio talk show host, john bachelor. >> good evening, larry. >> good evening. they fired at one of our unmanned drones. why didn't we fire back? why didn't we take some retaliatory action? are we just patsy
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 3:00pm EST
of a nearly 5% selloff just since the election. so you say there's opportunities in the u.s. what are you hearing from your companies in terms of how they're going to adjust their business? >> well, i think, you know, that's one of the reasons that unemployment still remains high in the united states. we have uncertainty in tax policy. we have uncertainty in regulatory policies. so if you take from the first quarter of 2009 to the current date, revenue growth in the united states has been 35%. greater than it was between 1990 and 2007. >> right. >> that should have translated into 30,000 more jobs per month during this period of time. but it hasn't because business hasn't been willing to go out and hire people, bring full-time people on board because they don't know what the laws that are going to govern them from a regulatory standpoint, and they don't know what tax policy is going to be. >> why would you add heads to the payroll when you have no clarity on what your tax rate is going to be. what fees are involved in those agencies. >> right. >> so that's the issue. so would you be poise
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 7:00pm EST
u.s. responses were in realtime to that situation. he has testified on the hill before, but this will be the first chance for lawmakers to talk to him since the sex scandal erupted. and obviously that's one that people are going to be watching very closely. but it will be behind closed doors. so we will not see him on camera tomorrow, larry. >> no, but it will leak out. the leaks will be great fun. eamon, i just want to ask you one thing. the president got all heated up about susan rice. but susan rice sold a story with the video and the spontaneous demonstration. that was subsequently proven not credible. in fact, it was proven not credible even before she started selling it. and mr. obama still has not dealt with that part of the story. how did she get that story? why did she sell it? and why did he sell it when he knew it wasn't credible? >> well, what the president did today, larry, was he linked himself politically welch with susan race. he hitched his wagon to hers in a political sense, and the president saying, look, if you're going to go after her, you're going
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 2:00pm EST
was, life is not exactly what you see. >> john, have you been in touch with the u.s. embassy? >> i have not. >> why not? >> well, i mean what will happen? they will offer me either sanctuary, i'll spend my days living in the embassy like poor julian assange. or when i leave the embassy, i will be nabbed by the police. >> do you believe then they would essentially take the size of the belizean government? >> no at all. they'd do what they were supposed to do, guarantee my safe pass to the embassy, speak to the police and then they walk out. do you think that's going to prevent the police in detaining me? >> john, you're still ostensibly a very wealthy man. why don't you just hire a chopper, couple guys to come in there and get you out of there. why are you so intent on staying? >> this is my home, sir. >> have you given up u.s. citizenship? >> no, sir. >> john, another thing -- what is the message that you'd like to get out there? you are in hiding but you have been talking to us and other media. what is the point of your communications this past week? >> well, i think that the worl
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 9:00am EST
not only surprises the street with a beat but says the u.s. enterprise business is showing signs of improvement. >>> and abercrombie silences the shorts. >> the president is scheduled to meet with a dozen ceos this afternoon to hear their concerns about looming tax increases and spending cuts. 73% of participants in a "wall street journal" ceo council conference said the fiscal cliff is their primary concern. goldman chairman and ceo lloyd blankfein talking about the importance of avoiding the fiscal cliff. he writes there's more than a trillion dollars of cash that is sitting on the balance sheets of u.s. nonfinancial companies with certainty about tax rates, companies will increase their capital expenditures currently at anemic levels contributing to a virtuous cycle of jobs and growth." if there was a disagreement as to whether this is becoming a mainstream story. story of "usa today," a giant cliff and inside a chart of how it will affect people. this is getting real. >> the editor of "usa today" is the single best print journalist going today. he understands what the pulse i
CNBC
Nov 20, 2012 6:00am EST
forces claiming to have targeted 100 gaza sites. the u.s. secretary of state hillary clinton is on her way to the middle east for talks with officials in a bid to try to end the deadly crisis. we've been watching oil prices, as well. and after sharp gains yesterday, you can see oil prices pulling back about 27 cents, still just about $89 for wti crude. we will have a live report from our nbc colleagues on the ground in the middle east coming up in the next half hour. >>> let's talk about some of the main market events of the morning. actually today fed chairman ben bernanke's speech at the economics sclub of new york is coming up at 12:15 eastern time. traders will be listening no any comments on the central bank's operation twist program and discussions about changing how the fed communicates about interest rates. operation twist expires next month. and there is some speculation the fed will continue making asset purchases by expanding the size of its $40 billion a month quantitate of it easing program. also on the economic agenda today, october housing starts released at 8:30 a.m. an
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 4:00pm EST
that is a point of view, i think that assumes they really don't tackle the fiscal deficit. i think the u.s. economy, there's so much money on the sidelines, both in business and retail investors. it wouldn't take much positive momentum. i don't think the bar is that high that people -- you know, they really want to get back to business. i think -- >> but we just have to accept less than we would have gotten historically. >> oh, absolutely. i think right now it's still going to be a long, slow recovery. i don't think it's going to magically come back and shoot and a everything is going to go. it still will be a long, slow recovery. we've come to a difficult crisis. it's a financial crisis. they take time to heal. right now it's about confidence. we really need that leadership and some kind of sentiment in a direction will be helpful. >> real quick, maria bartiromo was speaking with the charles schwab ceo earlier this week. they're cutting their etf fees, which puts pressure on everybody in the industry. will you be doing the same? >> well, we don't manufacture etfs. we have what we call an
CNBC
Nov 21, 2012 1:00pm EST
time, 2:00 p.m. eastern time here in the u.s. the deal announced by the egyptian leader, mohamed morsi, and secretary of state hillary clinton. it was later confirmed by israeli president benjamin netanyahu. comes just hours after a bomb blew up on a bus in the heart of tel aviv. dozens were injured. so far no claim of responsibility but hamas called it a blessed event. within the last few hours, israeli air strikes continued in gaza. this is video of secondary explosions when an hamas weapons depot was hit. michelle caruso-cabrera, our chief foreign correspondent is watching reaction at the nyse. michelle? >> that pushed the dow to the highs of the session. the announcement of the cease-fire got us another 25 points. we have come off the highs, 12,839 is where the dow stands right now, higher by more than 50 points, .4%. president obama reportedly just spoke with israel's prime minister benjamin netanyahu. john harwood joins us now. john, what can you tell us? the white house had a lot at stake here by sending hillary clinton to try to get this resolved. >> reporter: absolutely. and t
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 6:00am EST
thanksgiving week, aside from the one disturbance in the central u.s. and the one other area off the carolinas, fairly quiet with the exception of the northwest coastline. that's where we're dealing with a lot of snow and a lot of rain. much of the snow over 7,000 feet. rain especially coastal oregon in some areas 7, 8 inches over the next few days. tuesday, still fairly quiet travel wise. wednesday, that persists in the northwest still remaining one of the trouble spots. thanksgiving, looking pretty good across a good stretch of the country. just a few showers up towards seattle. and as far as the numbers for friday are concerned, looking good there, as well. that may help some of the consumer numbers on black friday. >> why do you have a cool there for thanksgiving? i thought it would be fairly mild here on thursday. i heard low 50s. >> here we are in november, though. so cool, 50s. it's close to the averages. >> all right. just wanted to make sure. i was paying attention. supposed to be sunny and 50s. >> are you going to the parade? >> i'm going to try to go to the parade. we try to go ever
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 6:00am EST
u.s. equity futures are down by about 21 points. s&p off by 3 1/2. and as we've been talking about daily, the looming fiscal cliff is a big piece of the market story. today barack obama is officially kicking off budget negotiations. at issue is a one-two punch. we have expiring bush era tax cuts and across the board spending cuts both set to hit in january. simpson and bowles with a warning to washington about what's at stake. >> if we get over on the cliff, we don't have a deal, and the market doesn't anticipate that we're actually going to be so stupid as to go over the cliff, then i think you'll see the market really crash and i think you'll see the rating agencies downgrade our credit again, you'll see fitch and moody's join s&p. i think you'll see corporations lose confidence. you'll see them slow down hiring, stop capital xebd churs, capital will go on on strike, it will be a hell of a mess. >> leaders of both parties think it would be to their advantage to go off the fiscal cliff. what a 12 straight that is, that we could win more as democrats if we let it go or we can win m
CNBC
Nov 21, 2012 9:00am EST
eight years of the weakest growth in u.s. history. so, he needs a deal so that the next four years are better than the last four years. >> we'll see. obviously, still the opening days of this process. charlie, the fed chairman in new york yesterday referring to these talks, reiterating how important it is they get done. he coined the term, fiscal cliff, "the washington post" today says. also adds that the evans rule is an area they continue to look into. fallout today from what he said yesterday? >> ilgt bit but that will happen. the market will be going up and down on small indicators. is john boehner smiling or frowning today? we'll have a lot of volatility for the next two or three months because i do think it's going to be two or three months. i think this is going to go into january. i think close to a 50% chance we'll go over the fiscal cliff temporarily. the market won't react well to that so it's going to be very, very bumpy couple of months here. >> that said, seasonally, i was told not too long ago, the period between thanksgiving week and december 3rd, the past 20 years
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 2:00pm EST
. >>> if the u.s. falls off the fiscal cliff, this would amount in an average increase of $3,500 per household. >>> bank of america is up big on an upgrade. >> upgraded to buy from hold, establishing a $11 target. about 17% return from current levels. thinking a drop in operating expenses will more than offset sluggish growth. bank of america up 68% or so year to date. >>> another stoke that is soaring, barclays. >> the all banking first two. goldman sachs adding this to their conviction buy list. a bit of an odd call though. goldman is basing this on their belief that in february at a big meeting barclays is going to announce restructuring of its operations. they're going to restructure, change some groups around. if they do it, goldman thinks it could have a sector leading up side. but they say even if barclays doesn't restructure the stock they believe has nice downside support. >> lowe's trading at 5 1/2-year highs. >> great story. profit 5 cents above expectations. they beat sales forecasts. here's your equation on lowe's. lower costs plus higher sales equals good news. there's your equat
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 7:00pm EST
this evening is mark ginsburg. he's the former u.s. ambassador to morocco. mark, welcome back to the show. look, i'm probably naive. but 16,000 reserves have been called up. maybe another 70,000 on the way. a ground war may start. can the israeli defense forces just take out the hamas forces? can they just take them out, martin? >> well, they can. and the fact of the matter is that they failed to do so in 2008 because of international pressure over civilian casualties. and that's of course the dilemma. but the fact of the matter is, larry, that we're seeing once and for all why we cannot let iran get a nuclear weapon. because hamas has been able to get these missiles from iran. and what's going to stop them if they're firing missiles at jerusalem today, what's going to stop them from firing a nuclear missile at israel tomorrow? that's why israel has to act authoritatively, finally, once and for all against the hamas military and civilian leadership. >> and stay on the ground for a while longer. in other words, not pull out. what i'm asking you i guess is just a basic military strategy issue. wi
CNBC
Nov 19, 2012 12:00pm EST
monetary initiatives you will have? obviously in the u.s., fomc has to do something to replace operation twist. you look over to japan, you are finally getting chatter that they are going to get real aggressive, stimulus efforts, end could weaken. is it now looking like it is a globally coordinated effort here and just a race to take that currency as cheap as you possibly can get it? >> that's what you are seeing. really a keynesian warfare here across the world. big government is highly inn debt. all of the -- six of the major top ten economies. colossal debt, colossal leverage and they are trying to lever that up at this point. but the mark let fight them. i think it is about trading in -- inflection points. yen has been very, very weak. and as you said, and that's a sign that japan is moving that way. spain -- disturbing in europe in terms of their fiscal cliff, spanish ten years have been massively underperforming italian ten years. that's -- that's really a warning sign for another spain problem in the next couple of weeks. >> in your note today you say short the home builders and s
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 12:00pm EST
also. >> you can't lose sight of the fact that abercrombie's u.s. sales were flat. it picked up international. that means the trend is not alive and kicking. i'd be careful. >> i think weiss is down with opp. you hear that music? >>> coming up, is apple the new coke? find out if the hypergrowth story of america's most valuable company is coming to an abrupt end. >>> facebook shares, even as hundreds -- facebook shares soar even as millions of shares flood the market. is this the ultimate buy signal? keep it here for full coverage of president obama's first news conference since being reelected. that starts at 1 p.m. eastern time. in the meantime, we'll go to break with naughty by nature. >>> fast money isn't about a bull market. >> in the blink of an eye, everything changes. >> you have to be able to surround the trade. >> we're doing what we do for a living and we're all together as a team but we all come at it but from a different perspective. >> it's all about moving the odds into your favor. >> it's what drives up the value of the show. >> i am john najarian. i am fast money
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 2:00pm EST
increase in taxes and such a huge cut in spending at the start of the year that the u.s. gets pushed back into recession. i don't think that's going to happen but that is what the market's going to focus on. >> what's the biggest mistake people make with regards to investing around the fiscal cliff, david? >> i think there are two mistakes. first, people need to realize that we are likely to get a solution. to me the three scenarios are an early deal, a just-in-time deal or a late deal in late january. the amount of pressure focused on congress to do a deal is going to be overwhelming from every aspect of the american economy. i think that will push them to a deal. i think the first mistake is assuming there won't be a deal because there will. the second is trying to pick little sectors in this whole issue. the real issue to me is that asset allocation is just completely messed up for many institutional and individual investors. people need to be a little bit more overweight equities, underweight fixed income. whether this is resolved expect both equity prices and fixed interest rates to
CNBC
Nov 20, 2012 7:00pm EST
hillary clinton a few hours ago. >> did israel get down what they needed to get down? we have former u.s. ambassador. mark, i ask you first. the negotiations for peace is going to take whatever. are they getting done what they need to get down to take out the hamaas military all it is going to do is get to a point where hamas is out of missiles. and so there will be another round of missile firing because there will be no durable missile firing. you have the head of the muslim brotherhood sympathizes with hamas. who is to say iran working through will replentish the weapons loss and we'll go through this whole thing all over again? >> good evening larry and mark. i'm told that hamas is boasting tonight of major success. because for the first time ever hamas has seen delegations of foreign states. into the gaza strip so hamas the terrorist organization is celebrating all of this success and now hillary clinton is heading to cairo, this is a celebration for the bad guys. >> what is secretary clinton going to do? the bad guys are proclaiming victory here. those are bad guys. i don't see how
CNBC
Nov 16, 2012 9:00am EST
prices here in the u.s. have basically erased this week's losses because of the gains that we're seeing currently in the oil complex. we're also hearing reports about iraqi enjoy saying that arabs should use oil to press israel over gaza. those headlines helping to cause this bid in the oil complex. in the gold market, we've seen steady declines over the last several sessions and now a little bit of stabilization in the gold market. there are concerns based on the world gold council report about demand particularly out of china. we've seen the cme lower margins for gold and silver so that may have an impact on the trading activity from here. carl, back to you at the white house. >> all right. thanks so much. in a half hour from now the president will hold key meeting with top congressional leaders on solving the fiscal cliff. we'll be over this crit aleveic event. both sides of the aisle will be covered. "squawk on the street" is coming right back. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 this morning, i'm going to trade in hong kong. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 after that, it's on to germany. tdd#: 1-800-345-255
CNBC
Nov 14, 2012 5:00pm EST
company based here in the u.s. its earnings are going to take a cyclical dip this year most likely as a result of europe. it has a great balance sheet and trading about ten times earnings. people are afraid to own it right now. >> we are going to leave it there. thanks for joining us. a name that dan had mentioned. >> we trade and talk about that from time to time. it had a nice run earlier this year. now it is trading 77.5. to me it seems it has a chance to trade to the lower 70s which i'm sure dan doesn't care about with a five-year time horizon. >>> let's move on here. the unrest in the middle east and the impact on oil prices. take a look at this incredible video from gaza. israel launched an a air strike. crude immediately spiked. where do you put this? we know there are tensions between hamas and israel. >> i don't think so. i think this is a bigger issue than people made out today. we are used to that rhetoric but you are starting to see the rest of the middle east get involved. we saw egypt pull the ambassador from israel. and this is not the normalal lobbing missiles back
CNBC
Nov 20, 2012 3:00pm EST
, which may be weighing on u.s. oil prices as well. we're going to get a report from the energy department tomorrow about crude supply situation. it's expected to show an increase for the week. we're also going to get tomorrow the supply situation for natural gas, a day early because of the thanksgiving holiday. >> all right, sharon. thanks so much. meanwhile, shares of consumer electronics retailer best buy down again today. down about 13% today alone after a massive earnings miss. this, even though best buy's new ceo, says he's optimistic. here's what hubert jolie told me last week. >> we're pretty excited. we have a lot of products coming on to the market. the apples products, windows 8. a lot of great releases. the associates are very ready to work with customers. we're turning the table on showrooming with price matching. we're ready for the holidays. >> so are you ready? is best buy a value or should we be staying away from this stock? let's start talking numbers now. we have richard ross. on the fundamentals side, jeff pillburg with killer capital and a cnbc contributor. good to see
CNBC
Nov 21, 2012 7:00pm EST
? it just plummeted. that's a very large share of the u.s. economy. we're noncompetitive in the world and we will have a real serious recession in 2013 unless something is really done quickly. >> jared, i just want to ask you a question. >> sure. >> you hinted -- this is really important. where we are going tonight is more politics than economics. >> okay. >> you kind of hinted that we might cross through the year, that we might fall off the cliff. if only for a short period of time. now as someone who worked in there years ago as arthur did, short period of time, you will take the better part of the winterer to make a deal. so we are going to go into recession. the question is, do you think the president can take that and do you think he can really blame republicans? is it that easy, or is all hell going to break loose in the country? >> i think it will be absolutely terrible if we go over and stay over the cliff long enough for recession. i don't care who blames whom but i will blame everybody up there. this economy actually has a little bit of momentum behind it and we would be crazy to k
CNBC
Nov 15, 2012 5:00pm EST
to be exceedingly difficult going forward for whoever. so if you aspire to be the ceo or the u.s. president this is a really tough one, although i agree with mike, i think at 82 to 80, i'm in. >> i mean, the stock was at a 52-week high a year ago for a reason, and that is the sales were strong. >>> coming up next hour on "mad money," cramer's got a very strong show. it's a secret. we're going to find out. >> a great show. >> always. without a doubt. but in the meantime, stay tuned. [ male announcer ] the markets keep moving. make sure the news keeps coming with thinkorswim by td ameritrade. use the news links breaking stories with possible breakout stocks, options with potential opportunity, futures and forex with in-depth analysis. it's an all-you-can-eat buffet for all things trading. thinkorswim by td ameritrade. it doesn't just deliver news. it's making news. trade commission free for 60 days, plus get up to $600 when you open an account. if we want to improve our schools... ... what should we invest in? maybe new buildings? what about updated equipment? they can help, but recent resear
CNBC
Nov 21, 2012 2:00pm EST
, 2:00 p.m. eastern on this day eight of the conflict. u.s. secretary of state hillary clinton announced about an hour ago that a truce had been reached between israel and hamas. so starting now, israel stops all military action in gaza, including those targeted killings. palestinians, on the other hand, will stop launching rockets on israel and border attacks on israeli troops. but there is no signed agreement. this is very important. instead, israel and hamas have agreed on an understanding, a kind of exchange of quiet for quiet, if you will, which will be the first phase. that will be followed by a second phase of intense negotiations. those will be anchored and supported and guaranteed by egypt and the united states to try to resolve the key demands on both sides. the sticking points are still hamas wants the blockade of gaza lifted immediately. israel wants an immediate end to all weapons smuggling. neither of those demands will be reached today. that's going to take some time. but at least both sides have agreed in principle to these demands and that they need to be worke
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